Saturday, February 28, 2009
Shaking the Paradigm
Then there's this. President Obama has gained popularity after a month of horrible decisions and lifting the moderate mask off his socialist dream he has for America. And he gets more popular.
OK now I have to raise the 'fool all the people some of the time' component and reiterate my firm belief that American education peaked in 1964 and it has been a long, long slide since then, past a tipping point where we can rely on an informed electorate rather than on the semi-morons Jay Leno and Sean Hannity find wandering around the streets of our larger cities. OK, the majority of people are much less informed than I had previously imagined. Lesson learned.
Not that I'm bitter, of course.
Labels: President Obama; American Education; Oscars; Paradigm Shaking
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
President Obama's Renewable Energy Fantasy
Here is the 2007 piece of the energy consumption pie so called renewable energy filled--7%. Big Wup. Let's look at some of the categories. What the heck is Biomass? It is wood and wood waste, municipal solid waste, landfill and biogas, ethanol, and biodiesel. These all put out CO2. Wouldn't their use be counterproductive to preventing the 'ravages of climate change' (a phrase our President used just last night)? Why, yes, they would, and their only real virtue is that they are not fossil fuel. Therefore, they are renewable, but not 'green.' And look how large a part of the 7% they are, the bulk of it. Take those out and green energy is but 3.5% of the energy consumption. That's not so good.
The next biggest is hydroelectric--big dams with water turbines producing electricity. No green- house gasses generated, but they are hell on rivers and the fish in them, especially salmon. Is there a real possibility of substantial increase in the amount of electricity they produce in the next decade. No. There are no big dams being built in America and if any ones were planned they would probably be killed by the tree huggers and snail darters. Indeed, nearly 500 American dams have been removed in the past 4 decades. We're stuck with just over a third of our renewable electricity (2.5% of all our energy consumption) being generated by dams, probably forever.
That leaves the big three green sources, geothermal, wind and solar (which together are 11% of the renewable (at least on paper) and therefore .77% of all our energy consumption). Geothermal is difficult to get and maintain and only exists in certain places so its growth is pretty limited unless there is a technological breakthrough. Wind and Solar have had a lot of growth lately and the sky is the limit (as long as the government subsidies hold out).
Here is what President Obama said last night: Thanks to our recovery plan, we will double this nation’s supply of renewable energy in the next three years.
What? We will have by early 2012 a full 14% of our energy consumption supplied by renewables?
Transparently untrue. Here is what the United States Energy Department now predicts for 2030 (21 years away, not three)--Hydroelectric-3%; Biomass-5.51%; all other renewable energy-2.45%. That totals 10.96% not 14%.
Does the President know that we can look up the energy figures on the government website?
Labels: President Obama speech; transparently untrue; Renewable Energy
Some People Are Hard to Fool
The President continues to sink in the polls, he plans to spend a freakin' ton of money and he lies to us about how he will fund this additional spending (new tax on just 5% of the population. Yeah, right). I have noticed nine presidents now make their first speech to Congress after taking office and every one of them has said they will end waste in government spending. Yet the spending increases every year and the waste is somehow never discovered. Only a complete fool would believe that old lie now.
My father worked for a prestigious but now fallen stock broker firm in the '60s when it tried and failed, at no small cost, to go paperless. Computers are much better now, but there are still no savings to be had by putting all the information on a computer rather than on paper in individual files.
John Stossel has a lot of good sense to say about the fantasy promise speech last night, very little of it complimentary.
It's important to remember that government has no resources it hasn't first commandeered from the private economy. Anything it does to stimulate economic activity necessarily preempts private activity. Where is the gain?
Worse: Since monopoly bureaucracies are not as efficient as competitive businesses,
government efforts won't get as much bang for the buck as private efforts. They will likely destroy wealth.
Here is an official text of the speech, in case you didn't see it.
Transparently untrue. Obama is already in the bubble some presidents get into later when they have lost the ability to see that we are no longer buying their bullshit. And we're just 35 days (and a trillion more in deficit spending) into his administration. Now I'm really depressed.
Worst fantasy blunder:
But to truly transform our economy, protect our security, and save our planet from the ravages of climate change, we need to ultimately make clean, renewable energy the profitable kind of energy. So I ask this Congress to send me legislation that places a market-based cap on carbon pollution and drives the production of more renewable energy in America.
Good bye, $2.00/gal. gas, it was fun. We're turning to pixie dust for our future energy needs, in order to waste Trillions to forestall a threat that doesn't exist. Where's that bottle of Makers' Mark?
UPDATE: The market is down about 150 two hours in. I guess it's possible the investors didn't like the speech too much either.
Labels: President Obama speech; transparently untrue
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Advertising California
I have never loved California, despite living there for four years in the '70s when things were good. So I notice the abandonment, by the competent, of the mess California has become with Democratic leadership (mainly in the statehouse, but lately a feckless, girlyman Republican in the governor's mansion has made little difference) not with schadenfreude, but with a grim realization that at least there are other states to emigrate to and then, sadly, what the immigration of dissatisfied Californians (about 90,000 of them) has done to our state, Colorado, which has gone from reddish purple to a bluish purple as the state has filled up with members of the center left middle class who can't stand California any more (but don't seem to mind putting into the Colorado statehouse and governor's mansion the same sort of people who screwed up their last state).
Then I read the very wise Thomas Sowell today, read John Hawkin's long list of Obama shortcomings, and see that President Obama is spending like California Democrats and plans on going after the "undertaxed" rich to move towards balancing the budget. (Yeah, sure.) Despair follows, because the only place to go now is away from our beloved, once and future (we hope) great country. Most of the rest of the world sucks to move to for good.
Labels: California Advertising; Overtaxed Flight
Take 'Em to the Bank Oscar Predictions
I like Hugh Jackman OK, but I think it takes a comic first, song and dance man second, like Billy Crystal. I hated the five person "got-nothin'-but-love-for-ya'" presentations but loved presenters doubling or tripling up on related categories. The clips sections were OK, but put them on the screen. A camera shot of the clips being shown on a screen at the Oscars is no good.
A little on minor actor Sean Penn's speech. It is not, repeat, NOT brave to portray a gay man or make a film about a gay man. It is about as brave as making an anti-Nazi or pro-dog film. Second, only if you think that it is a civil right for a man to be able to work as a Hooters waitress do you think that it is a civil rights matter regarding marriage for other than one man and one woman. The people who want to retain marriage's millennia long definition are not generally anti-gay, they just know that if you knock out the original definition and replace it with "you can marry whomever or whatever you love," you cannot rationally prevent marriages which are actually detrimental to society--to your sister or brother, to your dog or horse, to your favorite automobile, to the 7 year old girl who just drives you wild. That Penn can't see this (or that the anti-Prop 8 people have been the real hate-mongers here) makes him a fool who can play act.
And sorry Hugh, the musical is not back, as your second number varied between boring and cringe inducing, Beyonce notwithstanding.
I wonder if many people watched them this year?
Labels: Oscar Predictions
Friday, February 20, 2009
It's Not Aliens, It's Us
Labels: Global Warming: Disputed Metrics
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Nameste, Ritter and the Pixie Dust Energy Plan
There’s no better place for this signing ceremony than right here in Colorado – home of the New Energy Economy.
Two years ago, Colorado started building a New Energy Economy – creating new jobs, building new wind farms in wheat fields, and making our universities research leaders in renewable and alternative energy.
The New Energy Economy is very much about creating a new energy future. But it’s also about creating new economic opportunities. It’s about creating sustainable jobs so parents can keep food on the table, so they can send their kids to college, so they can afford health care. It’s about creating a new economic future for all.
Companies like Namaste Solar are at the heart of the New Energy Economy. When Colorado voters became the first in the country to pass a Renewable Energy Standard in 2004, Namaste didn’t even exist.
Today, Namaste has 55 employees. They built the solar array on top of this museum, and they installed solar on the Governor’s Residence.
There are hundreds of New Energy Economy businesses like Namaste employing thousands of people all across Colorado.
The president’s recovery package will drive the New Energy Economy forward not just in this state, but all across America –creating jobs, reducing the cost of energy for families, and moving our nation closer to energy independence.
This is how we rebuild America.
Sounds good, doesn't it? Too bad it's near complete hooey. Windmills and solar arrays only exist because of government payments to citizens to buy them. However, because the baseload of electrical power in this state is supplied almost exclusively by coal fired plants, the little bit of power generated by solar arrays on rooftops and in fields near the Federal Center and the airport, and from the much ballyhooed wind farms north and west of here, has not saved even a carload of coal, as the baseload power is produced without regard to the unreliable little bit more of power that comes onto the grid when the wind blows and the sun shines. Thus, the windmills and solar arrays are merely ostentatious trinkets on the grid, shrines to those who worship at the altar of anthropogenic global warming. Those who believe we have sources of energy other than fossil coal, gas and oil (nuclear, which could supply reliable power without CO2 generation, is inexplicably off the menu) must necessarily believe in pixie dust as an energy source, because wind and sunshine aren't going to get us to 1920's usage much less to the power demands of the 21st Century. Read this levelheaded study, if you dare. I shake my head that good guy Bill Ritter has been sold this bill of goods, or, worse, has been bought.
The president’s recovery package will drive the New Energy Economy forward not just in this state, but all across America –creating jobs, reducing the cost of energy for families, and moving our nation closer to energy independence.
The Pixie Dust Energy Economy may create a few thousand jobs, while the government subsidies last, but if the oil, kerogen and gas industries cannot develop sites and bring their product to market, many more actual jobs will be lost. The idea the hideously expensive and unreliable wind and sun generated power will be more affordable is delusional. Using our oil, kerogen, and gas deposits to supply our energy needs is energy independence. I feel like Brandon De Wilde in Shane calling for Bill Ritter to come back, come back to the real world. The governor rides on into the fantasy that we have the time, money and ability to replace fossil fuel with 'green' renewable energy. Come back, Bill.
Labels: Pixie Dust Energy; Bill Ritter
Denver Anti-'Stimulus' Rally
I didn't do too well with identification of the lesser names speakers before my camera quit working. Below, bald with a beard is night talk radio host John Caldera, who was the ad hoc MC.
There were lots of big checks in the amount of $30,000. I never learned where that figure came from.
The problem with getting a lot of people who will be negatively affected by the bill to gather and complain is that most of those people have jobs. Thus, there were only about 500 people there. I went on to get a record from the Court of Appeals for a brief due in about a week and when I get back, the thing was over. I didn't even get any of Michelle Malkin's roast pig.
Labels: Anti-'Stimulus' Rally Denver
Friday, February 13, 2009
As Emily Latella Says
Labels: 2008 Presidential Race; Raid on American Banking System
Thought of the Day
Jonah Goldberg
Labels: Jonah Goldberg quote
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Good to See I'm Not the Only One Wondering
Labels: 2008 Presidential Race:, Raid on Our Banks
A Valid Subject of Investigation
Labels: 2008 Presidential Race; Raid on American Banking System
Whew--That Was Close
Even Hudson Bay is once again ice covered.
Labels: Arctic Sea Ice Normality
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
OK This is Just Weird
Labels: Arctic Sea Ice Weirdness
Monday, February 09, 2009
Thought of the Day
Carol Platt Liebau (talking about pre-Stimulus spending)
Labels: Carol Platt Liebau quote
Sunday, February 08, 2009
Taken--Hollywood Myths Reign
This month's international bad guys, the Albanians, in Paris are hugely brave but horrible bad shots, which is the key to all movie bad guy organization. They instantly respond to any gunshot with overwhelming force, or what would be overwhelming force if they could hit the broad side of a barn with their pistols and HK MP5s. The good guy mows them down, but no one takes cover, they just keep coming, until they are all dead, the energizer bunnies of ineffectual evil.
Once the good guy is in a normal car, he's slower than Christmas if chased (faster than the wind if chasing) and is impervious to bullets. The actual protection of safety glass and a 1/16th inch of steel is nil to even pistol ammunition. The bad guys can drive up next to the hero, spray the hero with automatic fire and nothing at all happens other than holes in the car doors and windows.
No matter how well you hide your personal gun in your home, the good guy will find it and disarm it (and you will not check the clip and chamber) until the good guy splashes your cartridges on the table in front of you. Even though you know your pistol is empty, you will click on the empty chamber (and often will throw the empty gun, although that did not happen this time).
Any former American spy is impervious to arrest; apparently, the local police go blind or the hero becomes invisible just after committing a crime out in the open in front of many witnesses.
If the bad guys want to kill someone, they would be well served to use the mafia method and put two in the back of the head. Putting it off to drowning, asphyxiation, or any method which requires close personal contact only allows the good guy to survive, get his hands on you, and catastrophically turn the tables.
If there is one piece of equipment which, if it fails, will free the hero, that one piece of equipment will fail, at the worst possible time for the bad guys.
You cannot hide from a former spy.
And here are some truths lefties love to ignore, which the movie unconsciously reveals:
Children are fatuous, careless, deceitful beings whose affection can be bought by expensive baubles.
Ex-wives are cold, vindictive shrews who seek to place the blame for all failure on you yet who will quickly turn to you for help when something they championed goes wrong.
The replacement husband is more successful than you but worthless in a crisis.
The world is a dangerous place, especially for fatuous, careless, deceitful beings whose affection can be bought by expensive baubles, or a pretty face.
Criminals always ignore with impunity the gun restrictions of the country they live in.
CIA operatives, with the exception of Valerie Plame, who flutters her faux victimhood as helplessly as any 19th Century damsel in distress fluttered her handkerchief, are pretty dangerous people.
Torture always works to get valid, important information.
Execution of truly bad people seems more like justice than revenge.
Take the head shot; it always works.
Omnia vincit amor et nos cedamus amori.
Labels: Taken; Hollywood Myths
Saturday, February 07, 2009
You Have Another Think Coming
Harvard Economics Professor Robert Barro, who has another article on the general subject here
Labels: Robert Barro quote
Thought of the Day
Wall Street Journal Editorial Board
Labels: Wall Street Journal Editorial Board quote
Friday, February 06, 2009
Thought of the Day
Chris Horner
Labels: Chris Horner quote
More on CO2 Storage in the Oceans
One of the long-recognized potential consequences of the ongoing rise in the air’s CO2 content is CO2-induced global warming, which has been predicted to pose a number of problems for both natural and managed ecosystems in the years ahead. Of newer concern, in this regard, are the effects that the ongoing rise in the air’s CO2 content may have on coral reefs. It has been suggested, for example, that CO2-induced global warming will do great damage to corals by magnifying the intensity, frequency, and duration of a number of environmental stresses to which they are exposed. The predicted consequences of such phenomena include ever more cases of coral disease, bleaching, and death.
Increases in the atmosphere's CO2 content have also been postulated to possess the potential to harm coral reefs directly. By inducing changes in ocean water chemistry that can lead to reductions in the calcium carbonate saturation state of seawater, it has been predicted that elevated levels of atmospheric CO2 may reduce rates of coral calcification, possibly leading to slower-growing – and, therefore, weaker -coral skeletons, and in some cases, death.
Because of these many concerns, and the logical desire of individuals and governments to do something about what they perceive to be bona fide threats to the well-being of the biosphere, it is important to have a correct understanding of the scientific basis for the potential problems that have been predicted. Hence, in the following pages we review the scientific literature on CO2, global warming and coral reefs, in an effort to determine if the ongoing rise in the air’s CO2 content does indeed pose a threat to these incomparable underwater ecosystems. The key findings of this review are as follows:
There is no simple linkage between high temperatures and coral bleaching.
As living entities, corals are not only acted upon by the various elements of their environment, they also react or respond to them. And when changes in environmental factors pose a challenge to their continued existence, they sometimes take major defensive or adaptive actions to insure their survival.
A particularly ingenious way by which almost any adaptive response to any type of environmental stress may be enhanced in the face of the occurrence of that stress would be to replace the zooxanthellae expelled by the coral host during a stress-induced bleaching episode by one or more varieties of zooxanthellae that are more tolerant of the stress that caused the bleaching.
The persistence of coral reefs through geologic time – when temperatures were as much as 10-15°C warmer than at present, and atmospheric CO2 concentrations were 2 to 7 times higher than they are currently – provides substantive evidence that these marine entities can successfully adapt to a dramatically changing global environment. Thus, the recent die-off of many corals cannot be due solely, or even mostly, to global warming or the modest rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration over the course of the Industrial Revolution.
The 18- to 59-cm warming-induced sea level rise that is predicted for the coming century by the IPCC – which could be greatly exaggerated if predictions of CO2- induced global warming are wrong – falls well within the range (2 to 6 mm per year) of typical coral vertical extension rates, which exhibited a modal value of 7 to 8 mm per year during the Holocene and can be more than double that value in certain branching corals. Rising sea levels should therefore present no difficulties for coral reefs. In fact, rising sea levels may actually have a positive effect on reefs, permitting increased coral growth in areas that have already reached the upward limit imposed by current sea levels.
The rising CO2 content of the atmosphere may induce changes in ocean chemistry (pH) that could slightly reduce coral calcification rates; but potential positive effects of hydrospheric CO2 enrichment may more than compensate for this modest negative phenomenon.
Theoretical predictions indicate that coral calcification rates should decline as a result of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations by as much as 40% by 2100. However, real-world observations indicate that elevated CO2 and elevated temperatures are having just the opposite effect.
In light of the above observations, and in conjunction with all of the material presented in this review, it is clear that climate-alarmist claims of impending marine species extinctions due to increases in both temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration are not only not supported by real-world evidence, they are actually refuted by it.
Labels: Global Warming; Debunked Alarmists; Coral; Ocean pH
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
More Women than Wine
Labels: Women
Simply Brilliant
On the bright side, well know political economist/philosopher Robert Redford is pleased, saying:
I see this announcement as a sign that after eight long years of rapacious greed and backdoor dealings, our government is returning a sense of balance to the way it manages our lands.
Funny, I see it as a stabbing oil companies and the citizens who use their products in the back, an increasing of our dependence on foreign oil, and a hard blow to the already hard pressed economies of middle of nowhere Utah. I'm obviously not as smart as Robert Redford, however.
If I can find photos of the area in question, I'll post them.
Labels: Obama: The First 100 Days
Shower the People With Love
As an aside, Victor Davis Hanson wins the 'say the Emperor is naked' award for clear sighted criticism, long overdue. The bad spending and bad behavior of the Democrats was a given, but the terribly dangerous foreign policy being pursued by our President is worse, in less than three weeks, than I would have imagined. Very scary, kids.
Money quote:
At home, Obama is becoming laughable and laying the groundwork for the greatest conservative populist reaction since the Reagan Revolution. [Extreme wishful thinking that].
Abroad, some really creepy people are lining up to test Obama's world view of "Bush did it/but I am the world": The North Koreans are readying their missiles; the Iranians are calling us passive, bragging on nukes and satellites; Russia is declaring missile defense is over and the Euros in real need of iffy Russian gas; Pakistanis say no more drone attacks (and then our friends the Indians say "shut up" about Kashmir and the Euros order no more "buy American").
Labels: Obama: The First 100 Days
Why I'm Predicting 20% Inflation in 2010
It's my idea that inflation is caused by too much money chasing too few goods and is almost exclusively caused by monetary policy--a combination of the amount of printed money in circulation and the prime rate. However, keep in mind I've never taken a single economics class or read anything on economics other than Karl Marx.
Besides, the tricky part is deciding what to do to avoid having your life savings become worthless. I have nothing to say on that.
Labels: Inflation
Thought of the Day
Victor Davis Hanson
Labels: Victor Davis Hanson quote
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Wine, Women and Song
Who does not love wine, women and song / Remains a fool his whole life long.
Heinrich Voss (1751-1826)
Omar Khayyám (1048-1131) a mathematician as well as a poet wrote:
"Two sweethearts,
Two flasks of old wine,
A book of verse
And a cosy corner in the garden." (Quatrain xii of the Rubaiyyat--which means quatrain)
which verse has more of the three way fantasy going for it in the original, but which was rendered less racy, less alky and more mainstream by Professor Fitzgerald as follows:
"A Book of Verses underneath the Bough,
A Jug of Wine, a Loaf of Bread—and Thou
Beside me singing in the Wilderness—
Oh, Wilderness were Paradise enow!"
Which reminds me of a story I read years ago; I'm sorry that the name has escaped me, but the gist is an alien is studying humans for classification in the alien's natural history paradigm and after years and years the alien announces that he is ready to classify humankind. He says that humans are symbiotes What? his human hosts ask startled. Yes, the alien replies, you are symbiotic with the grape, because, without red wine, there would not be enough sex to keep the race going. It could be true. Except for the alien part.
Labels: Drugs, Rock and Roll, Sex
It's not a huge intellectual leap to refer to James Hansen as a Cicken Little, as I did a short while ago.
Still, there is a saying about great minds thinking alike. Perhaps.
Labels: Global Warming Hoax; More Mocking of Alarmists
Thought of the Day
The Boy Scouts have adult leadership.
Labels: Republican Failings
Monday, February 02, 2009
John Martyn - May You Never
Here's a video of the man himself, at age 25, more than 35 years ago. Beautiful song.
John Martyn - Solid Air - Visuals National Geographic
Not at all synched up, but nice visuals none the lessl. Could have done without the air shredding, though. Nick Drake would have dug this in his floridly psychotic 'normal' state. I don't know what's going on in your mind, indeed.
Thoughts on the Ocean Getting Less Alkaline
Money quote:
There seems to be no shortage of theories about how rising CO2 levels will destroy the planet, yet the geological record shows that life flourished for hundreds of millions of years with much higher CO2 levels and temperatures. This is a primary reason why there are so many skeptics in the geological community. At some point the theorists will have to start paying attention to empirical data.
Someday, indeed.
Labels: Alkaline Seas
Photos From the Front
Labels: Global War Against Muslim Extremists; Afghanistan
Thought of the Day
Walter Cunningham (former astronaut)
Labels: Walter Cunningham quote
Sunday, February 01, 2009
Report on American War Dead in Afghanistan and Iraq
According to Department of Defense releases for the month of December, 16 American servicemen died in Iraq, 5 in combat and 11 from non combat causes. This is continued evidence of our military success against Muslim extremistst in Iraq. The non violence in the heavily atended provincial elections is near final proof. I'll just say it, we've won against al Qaeda in Iraq and against the insurgency in Iraq. Things, as even President Obama acknowledges, are not going as well in Afghanistan and more troops are headed there and more fighting will certainly occur this Spring.
Here is a further breakdown. In Iraq, 16 American servicemen died. Three were killed by IEDs, one died from small arms fire, and one was killed in a hard landing of a helicopter during combat. Six died in accidents, inclulding a mid air collision of two Kiowa helicopters and four died from non combat causes and one died in Kuwait and no other information was given. In Afghanistan, six died from an IED (which is a big increase from last month and a telling statistic), five from combat operations and three from non combat causes, one of which was in Dijbouti. The total in Afghanistan is 14, and the total for the wars being waged against us is 30, less than one per day.
One officer was killed: Major Brian Mescall, 33, of Hopkinton, Mass, who died of an IED blast in Afghanistan.
Our thoughts and prayers go to the families and loved ones of these fallen warriors, and all our hopes for their continued success goes to our men and women, mainly men, fighting overseas.
Labels: American War Dead in Iraq and Afghanistan