Saturday, February 19, 2011


Warmies Think We Deniers Can't Google

One of the Warmie memes we, who are properly skeptical, find most galling is the claim that almost all weather phenomena support the AGW theory. There's a heat wave--Global Warming. There's record snowfall--Global Warming. There's a drought--Global Warming. There's a flood--Global Warming! Thus a scientific theory becomes irrefutable; becomes like a religion. Only admittedly inadequate computer models tell us what the weather will be in 89 years, but, for Warmies, nothing that happens in the meantime can refute the imperfect models, because all weather is proof of global climate change, indeed, of anthropogenic global warming.

One of the corollaries to all weather is proof of AGW is that AGW will cause wider and wilder swings in the range of weather events. AGW will cause ever more hot spells, ever more record snows, ever worse droughts and floods, ever more violent hurricanes. We've heard this for over a decade from nearly every Warmie, from the grotesque non scientist Gore to the scientists manning Warmie Central.

The good news, for us, is that the corollary just isn't true. There is no ever wilder weather since the CO2 started to climb. There are just the normal extremes, if that. Indeed, hurricanes are severely down in number and severity since An Inconvenient Truth said AGW would cause more and stronger hurricanes. Some Truth!

The best proof that the ever wilder weather claim is false is that now Warmie true believers, who mind being laughed at, are saying that they never claimed ever wilder weather would be a result of AGW. The trouble with that position is that we have easy access to prior statements on the internet.

Rather than tar someone with statements of another, let's just concentrate on one guy--Gavin Schmidt.

Here he is in February 2011:

There is no theory or result that indicates that climate change increases extremes in general.
But here he is in August, 201o:

DAN HARRIS: ...Well, scientists say you can't blame any one weather event on global warming. But these sorts of extreme weather events are getting more common and are predicted to get even more so. So we're looking at a planet potentially where the unusual becomes quite usual?

GAVIN SCHMIDT PHD (NASA): That's exactly right. The unusual heat waves, the unusual rainfall events will not be unusual in 10, 20, 30, 40 years' time.

Here he was in the NYT also in August, 2010:

If you ask me as a person, do I think the Russian heat wave has to do with climate change, the answer is yes,” said Gavin Schmidt, a climate researcher with NASA in New York. “If you ask me as a scientist whether I have proved it, the answer is no — at least not yet.
How can you 'promise' to prove a heat wave was caused by AGW if there is no theory that AGW causes extremes like heat waves?

Here is Gavin Schmidt for ABC in March 2007:

The conclusions from theoretical studies, direct observations and models are all quite clear and show that these rising concentrations [of greenhouse gasses] have led to a warming of the planet over the last century. This warming can be seen in the weather station records, ocean temperatures, disappearing mountain glaciers, melting permafrost and retreating Arctic ice, and is beginning to be felt in the statistics of extreme events.(emphasis added).
When someone says something important that you know isn't true, why would you believe anything else that guy says?

UPDATE: Gore's explanation for how the recent huge snowstorms were predicted by Warmie scientist and are caused by AGW is refuted by the NOAA
(h/t Mark Morano)


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