Wednesday, January 16, 2019

 

It's Difficult to Predict Things, Especially About the Future

Here is the NASA prediction for sunspot numbers for Cycle 24 (which we're still in) in June 2008. They thought Cycle 24 would have substantially more sunspots than Cycle 23.



Here is a later prediction from June 2015 when we were actually in Cycle 24. As you can see Cycle 24 was quite a bit lower than Cycle 23 which was itself lower than Cycle 22.



Here is what's called a prediction even later, in 2016. You can see it has very little to do with the 2008 actual prediction.



Here is the bulk of the actual Cycle 23. Kinda puny. My prediction is that it's going to be colder for a while.



The average cracked 80 for a very short time. So the actual prediction before the Cycle began was 80% too high. The science, I can assure you, however, is settled and you're a sunspot denier even to think anything different.

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Sun Dogs


Mix hexagonal shaped, flat ice crystals with light and you get extraordinary beauty.

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On the Road To Damascus


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Saturday, December 22, 2018

 

Anti-Christmas Spirit Pictures

Bah, freakin' Humbug!





This painter, the late Roj Friburg, makes Hieronymus Bosch look like Bob Ross. (h/t This Isn't Happiness)

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Monday, November 26, 2018

 

We're On The Road To Nowhere




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Wednesday, November 21, 2018

 

Thought of the Day




Talking about the Antifa neo-KKK (black instead of white disguises):

“These play-acting buffoons aren’t the moral equivalent of the French Resistance—they are mincing would-be thugs looking for something that will make them feel better about themselves. Apparently, terrorizing Tucker Carlson’s wife scratches an itch that weed and Netflix don’t."

 Antifa is politics as performative recreation—cosplay and LARPing livened by harassment, vandalism, and moderate violence. The tactics Williamson observed in Portland, “marching through the streets chanting the usual obscenities…blocking traffic, engaging in the casual lawlessness now associated with this city,” are not those of hardened revolutionaries and resistance fighters, but of perpetual adolescents staving off ennui.

 They are not much of a threat. The police could quickly clear them out if the feckless city leadership gave them permission, and if the GOP really were fascists then the black-mask LARPers would have been long dead. Portland still harbors many well-armed Republicans, some of whom possess enough firepower to singlehandedly gun down all of Antifa. The danger of Antifa is not that they will do much damage themselves, but that they will normalize political violence for those who would be good at it.

Nathanael Blake

That last sentence is chilling because it's true.

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Saturday, November 10, 2018

 

Historical Document Regarding Florida Political Corruption



The Florida history starts at 1:21 and the relevant part is 1:49 -- 1:52.

From Key Largo.

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Thursday, November 08, 2018

 

Obscured by Clouds






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Thought of the Day



When life gives you lemons, you should take those lemons, sell them, and buy beer.

Kurt Schlichter

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Wednesday, October 31, 2018

 

Pure Projection

Here is some major drivel in The Week by a guy I don't recall ever reading before, Ryan Cooper, who apparently graduated from Reed College in 2008 with a BA in chemistry. It's titled: The Right's Deadly Anti-Semitism Problem.

Yeah, right.

First Idiocy:

As usual, people looked for motivating factors afterwards. In this case, they did not have to look far. The alleged killer was apparently obsessed with racist anti-refugee rhetoric and anti-Semitic conspiracy theories — things that are increasingly winked at, tolerated, and even promoted at the very highest levels of conservative politics, up to and including Fox News and President Trump.


He's talking about the recent awful shooting in a Pittsburgh synagogue, but what the F is he talking about? What racist anti-Semitic conspiracy theories are being tolerated or promoted by high level Republicans and Fox News and President Trump?

First and last example he gives: "...the racist hatred that conservative media and Republican politicians from Trump on down have been whipping up against the refugee caravan this month...

He does add the detail that several Republicans were talking about Soros being a source of money to help pay for the Central Americans long march/drive from Guatemala to San Diego. But just because Soros is ethnically Jewish doesn't make mentioning his name a racist anti-Semitic conspiracy theory. Does our Reed College chemistry major know for a fact no Soros money is involved in the so called Caravan? He offers no evidence for such a belief in his piece.

Cooper says he thinks Soros is a sweetie pie with very reasonable slightly left leaning beliefs, so that refutes the conversation about who is funding the so called Caravan.

Here's a rational accusation he makes: "the "MAGABomber" attempted to blow up Soros' house..."  No he didn't. The "devices" had no possibility of blowing up. But it just goes on and on. Cooper is very long on making accusations, very short on backing them up with factual support. And criticizing the Catholics from Central America attempting to overwhelm our border and force entry has absolutely no connection to anti-Semitism. There's no connection whatsoever.

It is not at all difficult to show a thousand quotes from prominent Democrats criticizing the Jews who inhabit Israel. Writing out the quotes is not necessary, as the hatred of Jews by Democrats is well established and generally self evident, and I really don't have the time. OK, one. My source is the New York Times.

Since Cooper is sure that criticism is virulent racist anti-Semitism when Republicans do it, he must be sure it is virulent racist anti-Semitism when Democrats do the same thing, right?

Oh, wait. I forgot the basic magical tenet of the Democrats.

When a Republican criticizes someone, without advocating any violence towards him or her, that is invariably bigotry and hatred and the Republican often has Jedi Mind Trick powers that can cause people to do violence to the people the Republican criticizes.

When a Democrat actually advocates violence against someone, that's completely justified and nothing at all happens, ever. If there's violence, it's only what the individual perpetrator independently chose to do and there was nothing said by any Democrat that encouraged him or her to do it.

So, they got that going for them, which is nice.

Everyone knows the real political violence in the US is, as usual, coming from the left. One mass murder attempt against Republican Legislators on a baseball field. Nothing like that on the right. In California, a Republican running for Congress was attacked by a lefty with a knife. Nothing like that on the right. Approximately 15 conservative speakers have been violently prevented from speaking, usually on College campi, by lefty mobs since Trump won the Presidency. Nothing like that on the right. Approximately 20 people have been assaulted and injured in the streets by Antifa jerks in black. Nothing like that on the right (although some conservatives are physically defending themselves lately). About a half dozen Republican political offices have been vandalized. Nothing like that on the right.

I guess Mr. Cooper ain't been keeping up on current events.

UPDATE: Here is a clear-eyed comparison of what I'm talking about in this posting. It compares coverage of Hodgkinson to the coverage of Sayoc.

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