Saturday, February 06, 2010
Andrew Sullivan is Batshit Crazy
It is more likely that babies with Trisomy 21 (aka Downs Syndrome) will be born to older mothers. The incidence is 1/1000 for mothers less than 30, 1/60 for mothers over 42. Sarah Palin was 44 when Trig, who has Downs, was born and Bristol was 18. You make the call.
The average length of human gestation is 280 days and the minimum time it takes to ovulate after giving birth is 3 weeks. This latter period can be extended to months with breast feeding. Trig was born 4/18/2008 and Tripp Johnston, Bristol's first child (and, according to crazy Andy, her second) was born 254 days later on 12/28/08. Trig was 6 lbs, 2 oz at birth (normal for Downs babies); Tripp was 7 lbs, 7 oz. The average birth weight in America is 7 pounds, eight oz. Both babies were considered full term births.
So 254 is 47 days short of 301 (the 280 of a full term gestation plus the minimum three weeks it takes human females to ovulate after birth). That's over a month and a half short of the necessary time requirements, particularly with two full term babies.
Of course Andrew Sullivan is a raving homosexual (not that there's anything wrong with that) with absolutely no firsthand knowledge regarding procreative sex and the mysteries of the womb, so perhaps he can be forgiven his fantasy, but all the information in this little posting is available easily on-line. One would think a graduate of Oxford (even from Magdalen college) can add and subtract.
Sticking with his theory, long-shot to begin with, after the birth of Tripp is indeed an indication of a very disturbed mind. Plain old nuts, in my book.