Thursday, September 13, 2007


The question, Is OBL still alive ?

I've been of the mind that he is not, an easy extrapolation considering his absence from vainglorious video rantings for three years. Zawahiri has released a greatest hit's album worth.

So, with the two " new " videos, obviously comes serious scrutiny, and forensic analysis.

Researcher: Bin Laden's beard is real, video is not

Posted by Robert Vamosi
On the Friday before the sixth anniversary of 9/11, Osama bin Laden appeared in a new video, his first since prior to the U.S. presidential elections in 2004. In analyzing the video, Neal Krawetz of Hactor Factor, an expert on digital image forensics, said in his latest blogs that the video contained many visual and audio splices, and that all of the modifications were of very low quality.

Most striking is bin Laden's beard, which has been gray in recent images. For this video it is black. "As far as my tools can detect, there has been no image manipulation of the bin Laden portion of the image beyond contrast adjustment. His beard really does appear to be that color." The Washington Post has the full video here.
Krawetz says the inner frame of bin Laden was resaved at least twice, and not at the same time. The images show fine horizontal stripes on bin Laden and a background indicating these came from interlaced video sources. In contrast, the text elements, such as the As-Sahab logo, appear to be from non-interlaced sources.
The September 7 video shows bin Laden dressed in a white hat, white shirt and yellow sweater. Krawetz notes "this is the same clothing he wore in the 2004-10-29 video. In 2004 he had it unzipped, but in 2007 he zipped up the bottom half. Besides the clothing, it appears to be the same background, same lighting, and same desk. Even the camera angle is almost identical." Krawetz also notes that "if you overlay the 2007 video with the 2004 video, his face has not changed in three years--only his beard is darker and the contrast on the picture has been adjusted."
More important though are the edits. At roughly a minute and a half into the video there is a splice; bin Laden shifts from looking at the camera to looking down in less than 1/25th of a second. At 13:13 there is a second, less obvious splice. In all, Krawetz says there are at least six splices in the video. Of these, there are only two live bin Laden segments, the rest of the video composed of still images. The first live section opens the video and ends at 1:56. The second section begins at 12:29 and continues until 14:01. The two live sections appear to be from different recordings "because the desk is closer to the camera in the second section."
Then there are the audio edits. Krawetz says "the new audio has no accompanying 'live' video and consists of multiple audio recordings." References to current events are made only during the still frame sections and after splices within the audio track." And there are so many splices that I cannot help but wonder if someone spliced words and phrases together. I also cannot rule out a vocal imitator during the frozen-frame audio. The only way to prove that the audio is really bin Laden is to see him talking in the video," Krawetz says.
Another bin Laden video was released on September 11 and was much more straightforward. There was a still image of the black-bearded bin Laden (oddly, using a frame not used in the previous video), and then, as has been a tradition at al-Qaida , there was a long, unedited video of a statement read by Azzam Al Amriki, also known as American-born Adam Pearlman, who is currently being sought for treason and thought to be living in Pakistan. That doesn't mean the 9/11-released video wasn't doctored.
Click here and mouse over the image to see Krawetz's 75 percent error level analysis of one image. The white frame around Azzim reveals that his video was composited against the drawing of the World Trade Center being attacked. As Krawetz presented at this year's Black Hat conference in Las Vegas, al-Qaida has a history of doctoring background either to present propaganda or simply to disguise locations. In a separate interview, Krawetz talks with CNET about some of the tools he used in his analysis

And I hear in the newest one, there is no 'active' video, just a frozen image of the same 2004 version of bin Laden. If he's not dead, why not just film him in one take?
How fitting for the fly to land on the pile of doo doo's nose and then go up it!! We all know that fly's love doo doo!! lol

I heard a piece on today's (9/13)Morning Edition about the video. According to the interviewee, Fawaz Gerges, professor of Midddle Eastern Affairs at Sarah Lawrence College, dying one beard is a tradition dating back to prophet. Dying one's beard is supposed to strike fear in the hearts of one's enemies.

Greecian Formula, where is thy sting?


exactly. The dyed beard was to show a youthful and strong warrior. I wonder what they did about the bads under the eyes though.

I mean " Bags " under the eyes...LOL
"I wonder what they did about the bags under the eyes though."

Fred Thompson would like to know too.

You do realize Thompson, is recovering from Lymphoma ? I'll trust your not aware...
Hi Mark. I wasn't until your confrere (and Romney supporter) Hugh Hewitt posted that that Thompson was dying of cancer and that we therefore should not consider voting for him.

Do you guys "approve" of that statement?
As I recall, because I listen nearly every day, it was common knowledge that Fred had a particular type of cancer but not common knowledge what the survivor rate was, the rate of return, etc., as is known with some other types (like breast cancer, for example) and Hugh thought, rightly I think, that such knowledge would be helpful. Did he make other statements when I was away from the radio which were different in kind?

As can be seen from the comments, the great majority of Hugh's readers thought this was a new low.
Your link couldn't get me there; I'm sure it's my fault. However, it is a mistake to believe the people commenting are a representative sample of the listeners at large. You also still didn't answer my question.
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