Proof that once you're in a particular mindset, no amount of contrary facts can dissuade you, is contained in these
on the so called experts' opinions regarding global warming. They both center on the sea ice melt in the Arctic Ocean which occurs every year at the end of Summer (which is exactly now). This year, there is more sea ice melt than the average. But, of course, that's why they call it an average and not 'the expected' or 'the normal', although the so called experts are treating it exactly like there is a set amount of sea ice melt in the Arctic each summer without variation. There has only been satellite ice imaging since 1979. Less than 30 years of measurement is not sufficient data from which to be able to discern a climatological trend. Anything else than satellite measurement is necessarily based on anecdote. Regardless of the lack of knowledge, Chicken Little is shouting, however, and loudly. I like it when the Warmies tell us their bold predictions of things that will happen soon. Like the hurricane expert who said that in the year after hurricane Katrina (2006) there would be more and more powerful Atlantic hurricanes
probably to hit the US. There were none
in 2006--not just less, NONE. Please Warmies, tell me exactly what will happen to the Arctic sea ice over the next twelve months. Please.
But back to the aforementioned stories.
The New York Times coverage is actually pretty funny. Here are the last few sentences of a story that stated flat out the sea ice melt was a result of man made global warming:
...“We’re starting to see the system respond to global warming.”
Still, he and other scientists acknowledged that both poles were extraordinarily complicated systems of ice, water and land, and that the mix of human and natural influences was not easy to clarify.
Sea ice around Antarctica has seen unusual winter expansions recently, and this week is near a record high.
That last sentence is actually not factual, the Antarctic sea ice at the end of the Southern Hemisphere's Winter is
at a record high
, at least since satellite measurements have been recorded.*
Earlier this month, the New York Times reported that: Two-thirds of the world’s polar bears will disappear by 2050, even under moderate projections for shrinking summer sea ice caused by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
All of the bears in Alaska will be dead by that time, said the experts.
But as Paul at Wizbang points out, someone forgot to tell the bears.
In Nunavut, Canada's newest territory way up north, where there are 12 of the 13 Canadian populations of polar bears, so far this year there are many many more
than they counted last year.
Last year 841 polar bears were counted in the survey area and halfway through this year's survey, approximately 600 have been counted. Taylor estimates that this year's number could be as high as 1,000.
The total of Canada's bears are estimated at 15,000.
The estimated head count of polar bears in the world varies between 22,000
. In 1950, there were only 5,000
To be fair, where the polar bears numbers are continuing to expand is near where the NYT's sad story predicting their near decline said they would always survive.
UPDATE: Here's what the NYT reported about the sea ice melt: ...several ice experts who have studied Russian and Alaskan records going back many decades said the ice retreat this year was probably unmatched in the 20th century. (Emphasis added).
Well perhaps those experts ought to read a little history, like of Roald Amundsen's sailing through the Northwest Passage
beginning in 1903. Had he not stopped to look for the magnetic north pole, he could have sailed from the North Atlantic to the Bearing Sea in just a few weeks because the way was 100% ice free, just as the 'experts' are marveling at now and calling unprecedented. I could be mistaken but I think 1903 was actually in the the 20th century.
UPDATE II: *My source
for the amount of sea ice surrounding Antarctica has backed off its statement based, it said, on a 'glitch' in the computer program it used. Apparently a few weeks ago, there were 15.91 million square miles of sea ice and the record maximum since 1979 is 16.03. I stand corrected.
Labels: Global Warming Hoax