Wednesday, August 23, 2006
Questions for the Left
How many hurricanes have there been this year? (The answer is none).
If it is beyond dispute that the average temperature of the Earth's surface is going up, and, according to Al Gore in An Inconvenient Truth, that the warmer water of the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico will be like adding dynamite to the Hurricanes that spawn and travel there, why haven't there been any hurricanes this season?
The recent increase in hurricanes, another component of man-made global warming according to Gore's film, also suggests a cyclical pattern. For if one looks at any given 50-year hurricane timeline, it becomes obvious that hurricane seasons ebb and flow. The period between 1900 and 1950, for instance, saw the most intense hurricanes in U.S. history. Yet oddly enough, no one has chalked that up to man-made global warming. Not even Al Gore.
Last year there were plenty of named storms (27) and some big hurricanes, like Katrina, which approached southern Florida this time last year. The new storm over near Africa is Debby. D is the 4th letter; K is the 11th letter. All of the named storms have been so far merely tropical storms or depressions. The National Hurricane Center and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have had to lower the number of predicted named storms and hurricanes from what they had earlier this year.
Is it possible that there is not a one to one correspondence between having warmer water and the number of hurricanes there are in the season?
Is it possible that there is not a one to one correspondence between increased atmospheric CO2 and average global surface temperatures?
Just asking.
If it is beyond dispute that the average temperature of the Earth's surface is going up, and, according to Al Gore in An Inconvenient Truth, that the warmer water of the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico will be like adding dynamite to the Hurricanes that spawn and travel there, why haven't there been any hurricanes this season?
The recent increase in hurricanes, another component of man-made global warming according to Gore's film, also suggests a cyclical pattern. For if one looks at any given 50-year hurricane timeline, it becomes obvious that hurricane seasons ebb and flow. The period between 1900 and 1950, for instance, saw the most intense hurricanes in U.S. history. Yet oddly enough, no one has chalked that up to man-made global warming. Not even Al Gore.
Last year there were plenty of named storms (27) and some big hurricanes, like Katrina, which approached southern Florida this time last year. The new storm over near Africa is Debby. D is the 4th letter; K is the 11th letter. All of the named storms have been so far merely tropical storms or depressions. The National Hurricane Center and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have had to lower the number of predicted named storms and hurricanes from what they had earlier this year.
Is it possible that there is not a one to one correspondence between having warmer water and the number of hurricanes there are in the season?
Is it possible that there is not a one to one correspondence between increased atmospheric CO2 and average global surface temperatures?
Just asking.
# posted by Roger Fraley @ 6:09 PM 
Comments:
<< Home
Thanks for the info. Where ezactly does the FA get it's data to make these predictions. I never could figure that out. Certainly not from farmers?
Roger,
I have heard that the decrease in the # of expected hurricanes may be attributable to a giant sand cloud from the Sahara that drifted over the Atlantic blocking sunlight and thereby curtailing ocean warming. There is disagreement on this among meteorologists.
I think the real issue is who disagrees w/ one another more, meteorologists or economists. Of course, unlike medicine, one would never hear a meteorologist say: "Predicting the weather is an art, not a science."
T
Post a Comment
I have heard that the decrease in the # of expected hurricanes may be attributable to a giant sand cloud from the Sahara that drifted over the Atlantic blocking sunlight and thereby curtailing ocean warming. There is disagreement on this among meteorologists.
I think the real issue is who disagrees w/ one another more, meteorologists or economists. Of course, unlike medicine, one would never hear a meteorologist say: "Predicting the weather is an art, not a science."
T
# posted by 
: 12:43 PM
: 12:43 PM << Home
